MLB Player Props: Best Bets for Wednesday (August 28)

Ohtani, meanwhile, has crushed right-handed pitching recently, with 12 HardHit line-drive + fly-balls, plus three balls launched (100-plus mph off the bat and 20-40 degrees of launch angle) over the last two weeks.

Ohtani will see a cutter from Burnes just under 50% of the time, and Ohtani has very good stats against cutters on the year from RHP. He has a 10% barrel rate and a 58.50% Hardhit rate on the season, and while he has not hit a home run off of them in the last two weeks, he has still been hitting them hard, with a 14% barrel rate and 57% HardHit rate.

Next up are curveballs (26% of time) and changeups (24.5%), and he has smoked those as well, with a 12.50% barrel rate and .375 ISO rate against those two pitches from righties over the past month.

Marcell Ozuna Home Run (+375) Fanatics

Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins, 7:40 p.m. ET

Ozuna has been hitting the ball very hard against right-handed pitching recently, and he gets a great matchup today against a very home run-friendly pitcher in David Festa.

Festa admittedly has a small sample size this year, but he has gotten rocked in his 36 innings pitched. His HR/9 in these eight starts is 1.73, with a 9.9% barrel rate and 17.4 degree launch angle, which are three really bad numbers. There is no fear of the righty batter vs. righty pitcher matchup here, as Festa is essentially equally as bad against both righties and lefties.

He has a HR/9 of 1.71 against LHH and 1.76 against RHH. Festa also most frequently throws 4-seam fastballs (41.70% of the time), which Ozuna has crushed both recently and on the entire season. On the year, he has a 13.68% barrel rate, 59.42% HardHit rate and .316 ISO rate against 4-seamers from RHP.

The top three pitches that Ozuna will see tonight are the 4-seamer, the slider (38%) and the changeup (20%). In the last two weeks against that pitch-mix, Ozuna has an 18.75% barrel rate and 50% HardHit rate. He goes yard today.

Heliot Ramos Home Run (+750) DraftKings

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers, 8:10 p.m. ET

This is a great value play at the crazy price of +750 odds that we are getting. While Ramos is not mashing dingers at the same rate he was earlier in the season, he quietly has four barrels in the last seven days. There are only four batters in the past week with more than that.

It’s good company to be in, as those batters are Giancarlo Stanton, Salvador Perez, Aaron Judge and Bobby Witt Jr. Then, Ramos is one of four batters with four. Regardless, he has been barreling the ball up recently, which is a great sign for us.

As for the pitching matchup, he is going up against Freddy Peralta of the Brewers, who is absolutely a home run target type of pitcher. In his last 10 starts, he has a HR/9 of 1.79, while allowing a barrel rate of 9% and an average launch angle of 19.3 degrees.

This is another situation where we are not scared off of the righty vs. righty matchup, as Peralta has actually allowed more home runs to righties (13) than lefties (9) despite having seen fewer at-bats against RHH.

Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball over 50% of the time, which Ramos has hit incredibly well off righties over the past month. He has a 15.79% barrel rrate, 85.71% HardHit rate and .368 ISO rate against 4-seamers from RHP over the past month.

For the price we are getting, Ramos is a great play today.

Newsweek may earn an affiliate commission if you sign up through the links in this article. See the sportsbook operator’s terms and conditions for important details. Sports betting operators have no influence over newsroom coverage.